Atrial Fibrillation Biomarker Prediction to the Personalization of Electrophysiological Models

Pedro de Luna1, Marí­a Termenón Rivas2, Giada Sira Romitti2, Duna De Luis Moura2, Miguel Rodrigo3, Alejandro Liberos4
1CoMMLab, Universitat de València, València, Spain, 2CoMMLab, Universitat de València, 3Universitat de València, 4Universitat de València


Abstract

Aims: Inter-subject variability hinders the achievement of the desired efficacy levels atrial fibrillation (AF) treatment. Personalized in-silico models may help with the prediction of the proper treatment for each patient, although reproducing the patient-specific ionic variability can be very time-consuming task, making the clinical use of models difficult.

Methods: A population of 2100 models with 8 currents randomly sampled from -75% to 150% of a baseline chronic AF model was used. The N=922 ionic profiles able to propagate at pacing simulations were simulated in a square tissue (5 x 5 cm, 56776 nodes) after functional re-entry induction. The ability to maintain the re-entry after 6 seconds was evaluated and cycle length (CL) and conduction velocity (CV) measured (a). Machine Learning (ML) was evaluated to predict models that would maintain the re-entry and, if so, what the CL and CV would be, based on the specific ionic profiles.

Results: Preliminary results show that CV show important correlations mainly with gNa (0.83); CL is a multiparametric biomarker depending on gNa (-0.5) and gK1 (-0.61) among other currents (b). When classifying the ionic profiles that could maintain the re-entry (c), random forest ML model showed a sensibility (97%) of and a specificity (60%), on the test sample (20%). Prediction of CV and CL (d), with SVM-model resulted on the test sample in a R2 of 0.92 and 0.9 for CV and CL respectively. The simulation of the 992 ionic profiles took approximately 6 days while the prediction with ML is practically instantaneous.

Conclusion: ML can accelerate the implementation of personalized ionic profiles by rapidly and in mass estimating CV, CL and re-entrant condition for a wide range of currents and selecting those more representative for a patient.